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Economic Indicators
2009
2008
the cepci two weeks sooner at www.che.com/pci CHEMICAL ENGINEERING PLANT COST INDEX (CEPCI) (1957-59 = 100)
Jun. '09 Prelim. 508.9 596.8 529.9 583.0 748.1 388.9 896.7 458.9 602.4 326.0 485.2 347.3
CE Index
Equipment Heat exchangers & tanks Process machinery Pipe, valves & fittings Process instruments Pumps & compressors Electrical equipment Structural s & misc Construction labor Buildings Engineering & supervision
May. '09 Final 509.1 596.8 529.9 583.0 748.1 389.0 896.7 458.9 602.4 326.6 485.4 347.9
Jun. '08 Final 597.1 729.7 738.2 658.7 858.8 452.8 865.9 459.0 793.1 319.4 515.3 353.9
650
Annual Index: 2001 = 394.3
600
2002 = 395.6 2003 = 402.0
550
2004 = 444.2 2005 = 468.2
500
2006 = 499.6 2007 = 525.4
450
2008 = 575.4 400
Starting with the April 2007 Final numbers, several of the data series for labor and compressors have been converted to accommodate series IDs that were discontinued by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
CURRENT BUSINESS INDICATORS
LATEST
J
F M A M J
PREVIOUS
J
A S O N D
YEAR AGO
I output index (2000 = 100)
Jul. '09
=
89.8
Jun. '09
=
89.1
May. '09
=
89.1
Jul. '08
=
106.1
I value of output, $ billions
Jun. '09
=
1,480.4
May. '09
=
1,424.8
Apr. '09
=
1,394.1
Jun. '08
=
2,073.9
I operating rate, %
Jul. '09
=
66.0
Jun. '09
=
65.4
May. '09
=
65.2
Jul. '08
=
77.7
Producer prices, industrial chemicals (1982 = 100)
Jul. '09
=
234.6
Jun. '09
=
229.8
May. '09
=
218.8
Jul. '08
=
315.6
Industrial Production in Manufacturing (2002=100)*
Jul. '09
=
94.8
Jun. '09
=
93.9
May. '09
=
94.4
Jul. '08
=
110.8
Hourly earnings index, chemical & allied products (1992 = 100)
Jul. '09
=
149.1
Jun. '09
=
147.6
May. '09
=
147.2
Jul. '08
=
141.7
Productivity index, chemicals & allied products (1992 = 100)
Jul. '09
=
128.5
Jun. '09
=
128.6
May. '09
=
128.8
Jul. '08
=
130.6
I OUTPUT INDEX (2000 = 100)
I OUTPUT VALUE ($ Billions)
I OPERATING RATE (%)
120
2500
85
110
2200
80
100
1900
75
90
1600
70
80
1300
65
70
60
1000
J F M A M J
J A S O N D
J F M A M J
J A S O N D
J F M A M J
J A S O N D
*Due to discontinuance, the Index of Industrial Activity has been replaced by the Industrial Production in Manufacturing index from the U.S. Federal Reserve Board. Current business indicators provided by Global insight, Inc., Lexington, Mass.
MARSHALL & SWIFT EQUIPMENT COST INDEX (1926 = 100)
M & S Index
Process industries, average Cement Chemicals Clay products Glass Paint Paper Petroleum products Rubber Related industries Electrical power Mining, milling Refrigeration Steam power
Current trends
1500
2nd Q 2009 1,462.9
1st Q 2009 1,477.7
4th Q 2008 1,487.2
3rd Q 2008 1,469.5
2nd Q 2008 1,431.7
1,534.2 1,532.5 1,504.8 1,512.9 1,420.1 1,535.9 1,435.6 1,643.5 1,581.1
1,553.2 1,551.1 1,523.8 1,526.4 1,439.8 1,554.1 1,453.3 1,663.6 1,600.3
1,561.2 1,553.4 1,533.7 1,524.4 1,448.1 1,564.2 1,462.9 1,668.9 1,604.6
1,538.2 1,522.2 1,511.5 1,495.6 1,432.4 1,543.9 1,443.1 1,644.4 1,575.6
1,491.7 1,473.5 1,464.8 1,453.5 1,385.1 1,494.8 1,400.0 1,594.4 1,537.5
1,394.7 1,562.9 1,789.0 1,490.8
1,425.0 1,573.0 1,807.3 1,509.3
1,454.2 1,567.5 1,818.1 1,521.9
1,454.4 1,546.2 1,793.1 1,499.3
1,412.8 1,498.9 1,741.4 1,453.2
F
1485 1470 1455 1440 1425 1410 1395 1380 1365 1350 1335
64
2001 = 1,093.9 2002 = 1,104.2
Annual Index: 2003 = 1,123.6 2005 = 1,244.5 2004 = 1,178.5 2006 = 1,302.3
2007 = 1,373.3 2008 = 1,449.3
Chemical Engineering www.che.com September 2009
1320 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter
inal estimates for May and preliminary estimates for the June CEPCI indicate that there was a very slight decrease in equipment prices from month to month. Meanwhile, estimates for the May, June (both revised) and July operating rates confirm that slowly but surely, shuttered facilities and process units are coming back on-stream, and widespread capacity corrections are behind us. Visit www.che.com/pci for more on capital cost trends and methodology. ■
2009
2008
the cepci two weeks sooner at www.che.com/pci CHEMICAL ENGINEERING PLANT COST INDEX (CEPCI) (1957-59 = 100)
Jun. '09 Prelim. 508.9 596.8 529.9 583.0 748.1 388.9 896.7 458.9 602.4 326.0 485.2 347.3
CE Index
Equipment Heat exchangers & tanks Process machinery Pipe, valves & fittings Process instruments Pumps & compressors Electrical equipment Structural s & misc Construction labor Buildings Engineering & supervision
May. '09 Final 509.1 596.8 529.9 583.0 748.1 389.0 896.7 458.9 602.4 326.6 485.4 347.9
Jun. '08 Final 597.1 729.7 738.2 658.7 858.8 452.8 865.9 459.0 793.1 319.4 515.3 353.9
650
Annual Index: 2001 = 394.3
600
2002 = 395.6 2003 = 402.0
550
2004 = 444.2 2005 = 468.2
500
2006 = 499.6 2007 = 525.4
450
2008 = 575.4 400
Starting with the April 2007 Final numbers, several of the data series for labor and compressors have been converted to accommodate series IDs that were discontinued by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
CURRENT BUSINESS INDICATORS
LATEST
J
F M A M J
PREVIOUS
J
A S O N D
YEAR AGO
I output index (2000 = 100)
Jul. '09
=
89.8
Jun. '09
=
89.1
May. '09
=
89.1
Jul. '08
=
106.1
I value of output, $ billions
Jun. '09
=
1,480.4
May. '09
=
1,424.8
Apr. '09
=
1,394.1
Jun. '08
=
2,073.9
I operating rate, %
Jul. '09
=
66.0
Jun. '09
=
65.4
May. '09
=
65.2
Jul. '08
=
77.7
Producer prices, industrial chemicals (1982 = 100)
Jul. '09
=
234.6
Jun. '09
=
229.8
May. '09
=
218.8
Jul. '08
=
315.6
Industrial Production in Manufacturing (2002=100)*
Jul. '09
=
94.8
Jun. '09
=
93.9
May. '09
=
94.4
Jul. '08
=
110.8
Hourly earnings index, chemical & allied products (1992 = 100)
Jul. '09
=
149.1
Jun. '09
=
147.6
May. '09
=
147.2
Jul. '08
=
141.7
Productivity index, chemicals & allied products (1992 = 100)
Jul. '09
=
128.5
Jun. '09
=
128.6
May. '09
=
128.8
Jul. '08
=
130.6
I OUTPUT INDEX (2000 = 100)
I OUTPUT VALUE ($ Billions)
I OPERATING RATE (%)
120
2500
85
110
2200
80
100
1900
75
90
1600
70
80
1300
65
70
60
1000
J F M A M J
J A S O N D
J F M A M J
J A S O N D
J F M A M J
J A S O N D
*Due to discontinuance, the Index of Industrial Activity has been replaced by the Industrial Production in Manufacturing index from the U.S. Federal Reserve Board. Current business indicators provided by Global insight, Inc., Lexington, Mass.
MARSHALL & SWIFT EQUIPMENT COST INDEX (1926 = 100)
M & S Index
Process industries, average Cement Chemicals Clay products Glass Paint Paper Petroleum products Rubber Related industries Electrical power Mining, milling Refrigeration Steam power
Current trends
1500
2nd Q 2009 1,462.9
1st Q 2009 1,477.7
4th Q 2008 1,487.2
3rd Q 2008 1,469.5
2nd Q 2008 1,431.7
1,534.2 1,532.5 1,504.8 1,512.9 1,420.1 1,535.9 1,435.6 1,643.5 1,581.1
1,553.2 1,551.1 1,523.8 1,526.4 1,439.8 1,554.1 1,453.3 1,663.6 1,600.3
1,561.2 1,553.4 1,533.7 1,524.4 1,448.1 1,564.2 1,462.9 1,668.9 1,604.6
1,538.2 1,522.2 1,511.5 1,495.6 1,432.4 1,543.9 1,443.1 1,644.4 1,575.6
1,491.7 1,473.5 1,464.8 1,453.5 1,385.1 1,494.8 1,400.0 1,594.4 1,537.5
1,394.7 1,562.9 1,789.0 1,490.8
1,425.0 1,573.0 1,807.3 1,509.3
1,454.2 1,567.5 1,818.1 1,521.9
1,454.4 1,546.2 1,793.1 1,499.3
1,412.8 1,498.9 1,741.4 1,453.2
F
1485 1470 1455 1440 1425 1410 1395 1380 1365 1350 1335
64
2001 = 1,093.9 2002 = 1,104.2
Annual Index: 2003 = 1,123.6 2005 = 1,244.5 2004 = 1,178.5 2006 = 1,302.3
2007 = 1,373.3 2008 = 1,449.3
Chemical Engineering www.che.com September 2009
1320 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter
inal estimates for May and preliminary estimates for the June CEPCI indicate that there was a very slight decrease in equipment prices from month to month. Meanwhile, estimates for the May, June (both revised) and July operating rates confirm that slowly but surely, shuttered facilities and process units are coming back on-stream, and widespread capacity corrections are behind us. Visit www.che.com/pci for more on capital cost trends and methodology. ■
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