Erpas Real-time Forecast 20160923 72k4n

Disclaimer

The material contained in this PPT is a raw model output and research product. This is meant for scientific use.

Experimental Extended range prediction

INITIAL CONDITION: 23rd September 2016

 This MME forecast has been prepared using the CFS (T126 & T382) and GFSbc (T126 & T382) (each 11 ) . Abhilash et. al (2015): Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 54, July 2015, DOI:10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0200.1, 1569-1578

Real-time forecast based on 23rd September 2016 initial condition

Daily evolution of rainfall and wind at 850hPa (by MME)

Predicted pentad wise rainfall (by MME)

MISO monitoring and forecast for next 25 days

Daily evolution of vorticity at 850hPa and mean sea level pressure (by MME)

Daily evolution of divergence and winds at 200hPa and 500mb Geopotential Height (by MME)

Daily evolution of GH and wind Anomaly at 500mb (by MME)

Daily evolution of RH and winds at 700hPa (by MME)

Daily evolution of Soil Moisture (top 10cm) Anomaly (by MME)

Forecast of Cyclogenesis probability based on GPI from CGEPS(MME)

Area averaged rainfall over homogeneous regions predicted by MME

Area averaged rainfall over MZI region predicted by MME

Area averaged rainfall over CEI region predicted by MME

Area averaged rainfall over NEI region predicted by MME

Area averaged rainfall over NWI region predicted by MME

Area averaged rainfall over SPI region predicted by MME

MISO forecast and its verification

MJO forecast and its verification